The question is whether it is the Dunning-Kruger Effect or willful ignorance?
4/30/2022
Ignorance Of The Educated
This is something I’ve seen before and it rings true. I have seen examples of this my entire adult life. I see it all the time on the ‘Net. In fact, I see it mostly on the ‘Net. I also see it in real life. It is always disheartening.
The question is whether it is the Dunning-Kruger Effect or willful ignorance?
The question is whether it is the Dunning-Kruger Effect or willful ignorance?
How Much Is It Going To Cost To Be Out On The Lake This Summer?
There has been a lot of speculation around the Big Lake about marine gas prices and where they will be once the boating season is in full swing. At the moment most marinas that have been updating gas prices show a range between $4.59/gallon and $6.99/gallon for 89 and 91 octane gas. (Surprisingly the 91 octane gas is cheaper than some of the 89 octane gas available at the various gas docks around the lake.) I expect prices will go even higher once we get well into summer and gas demand goes up.
I take it that it’s safe to make the assumption that the situation is the same at any of the other gas docks and marinas around the country.
The one upside to the high marine gas prices is that there will be less boat traffic on the lake. That’s what happened the last time gas prices were like this. There were times when there were very few boats out on the lake on a sunny July weekend afternoon. The last time I experienced that I think I saw all of a dozen boats over the three hours my family and I were out on the lake that day.
While the gas prices will also affect me, it won’t be as much as it would some of the other boaters since I don’t buy gas for the Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout at gas docks. Rather, I use a couple of gas caddies and fill them at the local gas station. It helps that my boat only requires 87 octane gas which saves costs up front and not having to pay the price premium for gas sold at gas docks which can be as much as $1.50/gallon above that sold at the gas station. It also helps that the boat doesn’t use a lot of gas as compared to some. We may not go out as often as we might otherwise or we’ll spend more time at anchor at some of our favorite spots rather than cruising around the lake in an effort to reduce gas consumption.
Despite the gas prices, I am looking forward the upcoming boating season.
I take it that it’s safe to make the assumption that the situation is the same at any of the other gas docks and marinas around the country.
The one upside to the high marine gas prices is that there will be less boat traffic on the lake. That’s what happened the last time gas prices were like this. There were times when there were very few boats out on the lake on a sunny July weekend afternoon. The last time I experienced that I think I saw all of a dozen boats over the three hours my family and I were out on the lake that day.
While the gas prices will also affect me, it won’t be as much as it would some of the other boaters since I don’t buy gas for the Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout at gas docks. Rather, I use a couple of gas caddies and fill them at the local gas station. It helps that my boat only requires 87 octane gas which saves costs up front and not having to pay the price premium for gas sold at gas docks which can be as much as $1.50/gallon above that sold at the gas station. It also helps that the boat doesn’t use a lot of gas as compared to some. We may not go out as often as we might otherwise or we’ll spend more time at anchor at some of our favorite spots rather than cruising around the lake in an effort to reduce gas consumption.
Despite the gas prices, I am looking forward the upcoming boating season.
4/24/2022
Thoughts On A Sunday
Yesterday was another day of working around The Gulch making sure everything would be ready for painting next month. Fortunately much of the work was cleanup and hauling the demo – rotted boards, damaged flashing and shakes – to the town dump for disposal.
Not that I am finished with spring cleaning by any means as there’s plenty that needs to be done in the garage and the storage space above the garage. I also have to clean the gear for the Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout before it is put back into the water next month.
We keep hearing the hype about 5G phones and their revolutionary changes for smart phone users. However, the hype doesn’t match with the reality.
For the most part, customers don’t really see a difference between 4G/LTE and 5G service. The so-called game changer that was supposed to be 5G has turned out to be more of a marginal improvement for some. Customers outside of urban areas won’t have access to the newer high-speed data services.
While the MacWorld magazine article linked in the above Instapundit post delves into Apple’s late entry into the 5G world and some of the issues with 5G, the comments are telling with more than a few saying that their experiences with 5G hasn’t been eyeopening. A few have had worse service with 5G than 4G. Others have said they really don’t see any difference between 4G and 5G performance.
We aren’t seeing a big improvement of the kind we experienced when we switched from 3G to 4G. It’s an incremental improvement that for a large percentage of customers is barely noticeable.
Okay, I am going to put my rarely used Conspiracy Theorist hat on for a moment. Here goes.
What’s with all the food processing plants blowing up lately?
If you need any more proof that colleges are bastions of Progressive fascism, here’s the latest example from Tulane University where Leftist college students decided to form a “human wall” as a means of silencing free speech by blocking access to the University’s conservative club event that was addressing free speech and the problems with censorship and socialism.
CNN+, we hardly knew ya.
I can’t say that I am sorry to see it go, particularly after only a month online.
CNN itself is barely surviving. What made them think a purely online subscription version – CNN+ - would do any better is baffling to me.
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where summer is creeping ever closer, the dry ground is a fire hazard now that the snow has all melted, and where May is only a week away.
Not that I am finished with spring cleaning by any means as there’s plenty that needs to be done in the garage and the storage space above the garage. I also have to clean the gear for the Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout before it is put back into the water next month.
==++==
We keep hearing the hype about 5G phones and their revolutionary changes for smart phone users. However, the hype doesn’t match with the reality.
For the most part, customers don’t really see a difference between 4G/LTE and 5G service. The so-called game changer that was supposed to be 5G has turned out to be more of a marginal improvement for some. Customers outside of urban areas won’t have access to the newer high-speed data services.
While the MacWorld magazine article linked in the above Instapundit post delves into Apple’s late entry into the 5G world and some of the issues with 5G, the comments are telling with more than a few saying that their experiences with 5G hasn’t been eyeopening. A few have had worse service with 5G than 4G. Others have said they really don’t see any difference between 4G and 5G performance.
We aren’t seeing a big improvement of the kind we experienced when we switched from 3G to 4G. It’s an incremental improvement that for a large percentage of customers is barely noticeable.
==++==
Okay, I am going to put my rarely used Conspiracy Theorist hat on for a moment. Here goes.
What’s with all the food processing plants blowing up lately?
A weird trend has emerged over the past few months that seems statistically unlikely. A number of factories, logistical centers, and food processing plants have caught fire or exploded, including two that had planes crash on them. More and more people have noticed and wondered about the trend on social media. Of course, this has caused the conspiracy theorists to come out in force, so one must make a sober assessment without jumping to conclusions. But man, this is weird. With all the negative pressures on our economy and supply chains, and even Joe Biden talking about global food shortages over the next several months, one has to wonder what’s going on here.And to add even more fuel to the conspiracy theory fire, it seems Union Pacific has decided to help make the food shortages even worse.
Add to this Union Pacific notified America's largest distributer of fertilizer (CF Industries) that they will be limiting shipments by nearly 20%. "The timing of this action by Union Pacific could not come at a worse time for farmers," said CF CEO Tony Will in a press release.Hmm. At a time when food shortages have already started and are going to get worse, Union Pacific takes actions that will make them much worse. As the latent conspiracy theorist inside of me is thinking, the timing of this move by the railroad is...umm...suspicious.
--snip--
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF), a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, today informed customers it serves by Union Pacific rail lines that railroad-mandated shipping reductions would result in nitrogen fertilizer shipment delays during the spring application season and that it would be unable to accept new rail sales involving Union Pacific for the foreseeable future. The Company understands that it is one of only 30 companies to face these restrictions.
CF Industries ships to customers via Union Pacific rail lines primarily from its Donaldsonville Complex in Louisiana and its Port Neal Complex in Iowa. The rail lines serve key agricultural areas such as Iowa, Illinois, Kansas, Nebraska, Texas and California. Products that will be affected include nitrogen fertilizers such as urea and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) as well as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), an emissions control product required for diesel trucks. CF Industries is the largest producer of urea, UAN and DEF in North America, and its Donaldsonville Complex is the largest single production facility for the products in North America.
“The timing of this action by Union Pacific could not come at a worse time for farmers,” said Tony Will, president and chief executive officer, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. “Not only will fertilizer be delayed by these shipping restrictions, but additional fertilizer needed to complete spring applications may be unable to reach farmers at all. By placing this arbitrary restriction on just a handful of shippers, Union Pacific is jeopardizing farmers’ harvests and increasing the cost of food for consumers.”
On Friday, April 8, 2022, Union Pacific informed CF Industries without advance notice that it was mandating certain shippers to reduce the volume of private cars on its railroad effective immediately. The Company was told to reduce its shipments by nearly 20%. CF Industries believes it will still be able to fulfill delivery of product already contracted for rail shipment to Union Pacific destinations, albeit with likely delays. However, because Union Pacific has told the Company that noncompliance will result in the embargo of its facilities by the railroad, CF Industries may not have available shipping capacity to take new rail orders involving Union Pacific rail lines to meet late season demand for fertilizer.
==++==
If you need any more proof that colleges are bastions of Progressive fascism, here’s the latest example from Tulane University where Leftist college students decided to form a “human wall” as a means of silencing free speech by blocking access to the University’s conservative club event that was addressing free speech and the problems with censorship and socialism.
There was a time when students were rebellious. They were in favor of free speech, as opposed to believing that only officially approved speech should be permitted. That was before they had been sufficiently indoctrinated by the ideologically homogeneous education establishment. Now, many of them would be eager to help herd the politically disfavored into boxcars en route to reeducation camps. They will even form human walls to block out disapproved speech — such as opposition to censorship...What do you expect from a bunch of drones programmed to spout socialist ‘ideals’, to equate ‘feelz’ with thought, and to not think about anything not approved by their Progressive elite masters? These are folks that soon won’t be able to find their butts with both their hands unless directed by those same masters. What’s ironic is that they’ve sold themselves into slavery and either haven’t realized it, or worse, don’t care.
==++==
CNN+, we hardly knew ya.
I can’t say that I am sorry to see it go, particularly after only a month online.
CNN itself is barely surviving. What made them think a purely online subscription version – CNN+ - would do any better is baffling to me.
The collapse of CNN+ in such a short amount of time is such an embarrassment for them. Think of the time and money they invested in this.There’s plenty more at the link, including Netflix’s mistake that is costing them subscribers and income, predictions of a disaster of biblical proportions for the Democrats in November, Elon Musk’s efforts to buy Twitter, and Disney’s mistake in getting involved in Florida politics which has cost it its status as a self-governing district and special tax breaks.
==++==
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where summer is creeping ever closer, the dry ground is a fire hazard now that the snow has all melted, and where May is only a week away.
4/23/2022
I Don't Care
“I don’t care.”
This has become my response to a lot of issues that are allegedly plaguing our society. Not all of them, but a lot of them.
I find that almost all of the ‘woke’ issues are ones I care less and less about. My reason is that so many of the ‘woke’ issues are pure unadulterated bulls**t. So many of them are trivial, but blown all out of proportion until they seem of major importance. But they aren’t. They are still trivial. Some are even non-existent.
It seems that so many privileged (and bored) white Progressives find they don’t have a cause to fight for, unlike their parents or grandparents. All the good causes have already been won, most of them in the 60’s and 70’s. Good causes are in short supply, so the ‘woke’ needed to find something. Little things are blown all out of proportion to create a cause and the cause is pushed. Even ridiculous causes are treated as if the fate of humanity depends upon it.
Another thing I don’t care about? LGBTQA+. Why?
Because none of that makes any difference to me. I don’t care if someone is homosexual. I don’t care if someone is bisexual. I don’t care if someone is trans. I don’t care if someone is ‘+’. None of that makes any difference to me and never has. To paraphrase Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., “I want people to be judged by the content of their character, not their sexual orientation or gender identity.” My problem is that an increasing number of the LGBTQA+ community have made their sexual orientation or gender identity their sole purpose in life. They go on and on ad nauseum all day, every day, and they don’t stop, ever. They aren’t helping their cause. Rather they are damaging it. Their entire identity is wrapped up in their cause to the exclusion of all else. They become a parody of the very thing they say they are fighting for and people start ignoring them, just the opposite of what they say they want. They become boring to talk to or interact with because all they ever talk about is their community, period.
I know so many other members of the community that don’t like this. They don’t like the In-Your-Face confrontation and theater that masquerades as support.
Another topic I don’t care about?
Sexism, and its ‘related’ issue, patriarchy.
I think my biggest problem is how every problem women experience is solely the fault of the patriarchy (which is based on sexism). My problem with such claims? It seems those complaining the loudest about patriarchy can’t even define it. (A definition can be found here.) All they seem to know is that it has something to do with men and is therefore, evil. How can anyone be against something they can’t even define?
Then there’s racism.
It is a problem...but I don’t care. Why?
It is claimed the US is a racist nation, one of the worst on the face of the planet. But most of the folks making that claim have never been anywhere else on this planet. They have absolutely no clue how little racism exists here. For such a racist nation we seem to have little racism, particularly when compared to the rest of the world. (I have traveled to 40+ countries and I have seen and been subjected to racism.) We do have it here. I do not claim we don’t. What makes me not care is that the ones screaming the loudest about racism tend to be the racists in the room. They somehow have the idea that our racially disadvantaged citizens (meaning non-white) can’t possibly get ahead without their helping hand, a hand that more often holds them back. We have seen many of these same racist anti-racists speak on behalf of racial groups they neither know or understand.
A couple of examples of this paradox include the ‘woke’ pushing to change the team names of the Washington Redskins (NFL) and Cleveland Indians (MLB). They saw the names as demeaning and racist. However, they never bothered to ask the Native American tribes how they felt about it. If they had, they would have found most had no issues with the team names. In fact, a poll taken of Native Americans about the name of the Washington Redskins found that a majority were proud of the name with the next largest number of those polled being ‘indifferent’ to the name. Yes, one tribe, the Oneida, expressed their dismay at the name. But the Blackfeet tribe was upset at the change considering Walter Wetzel, a member of the Blackfeet, created the logo that had been used since 1971.
The one thing that has me not caring about racism is the claim we hear from the woke that only white people can be racist. I cannot even begin to explain just how clueless and stupid that claim is. That told me I didn’t need to care about the racism.
I could continue on and on about issues ‘plaguing’ our country about which I don’t care, many of which are faux causes or trivial grievances. I have more important things to care about and deal with. So do we all. It’s time for more of us to say “I don’t care” when it comes to the aforementioned causes and grievances. We all have more important things to deal with.
This has become my response to a lot of issues that are allegedly plaguing our society. Not all of them, but a lot of them.
I find that almost all of the ‘woke’ issues are ones I care less and less about. My reason is that so many of the ‘woke’ issues are pure unadulterated bulls**t. So many of them are trivial, but blown all out of proportion until they seem of major importance. But they aren’t. They are still trivial. Some are even non-existent.
It seems that so many privileged (and bored) white Progressives find they don’t have a cause to fight for, unlike their parents or grandparents. All the good causes have already been won, most of them in the 60’s and 70’s. Good causes are in short supply, so the ‘woke’ needed to find something. Little things are blown all out of proportion to create a cause and the cause is pushed. Even ridiculous causes are treated as if the fate of humanity depends upon it.
Another thing I don’t care about? LGBTQA+. Why?
Because none of that makes any difference to me. I don’t care if someone is homosexual. I don’t care if someone is bisexual. I don’t care if someone is trans. I don’t care if someone is ‘+’. None of that makes any difference to me and never has. To paraphrase Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., “I want people to be judged by the content of their character, not their sexual orientation or gender identity.” My problem is that an increasing number of the LGBTQA+ community have made their sexual orientation or gender identity their sole purpose in life. They go on and on ad nauseum all day, every day, and they don’t stop, ever. They aren’t helping their cause. Rather they are damaging it. Their entire identity is wrapped up in their cause to the exclusion of all else. They become a parody of the very thing they say they are fighting for and people start ignoring them, just the opposite of what they say they want. They become boring to talk to or interact with because all they ever talk about is their community, period.
I know so many other members of the community that don’t like this. They don’t like the In-Your-Face confrontation and theater that masquerades as support.
Another topic I don’t care about?
Sexism, and its ‘related’ issue, patriarchy.
I think my biggest problem is how every problem women experience is solely the fault of the patriarchy (which is based on sexism). My problem with such claims? It seems those complaining the loudest about patriarchy can’t even define it. (A definition can be found here.) All they seem to know is that it has something to do with men and is therefore, evil. How can anyone be against something they can’t even define?
Then there’s racism.
It is a problem...but I don’t care. Why?
It is claimed the US is a racist nation, one of the worst on the face of the planet. But most of the folks making that claim have never been anywhere else on this planet. They have absolutely no clue how little racism exists here. For such a racist nation we seem to have little racism, particularly when compared to the rest of the world. (I have traveled to 40+ countries and I have seen and been subjected to racism.) We do have it here. I do not claim we don’t. What makes me not care is that the ones screaming the loudest about racism tend to be the racists in the room. They somehow have the idea that our racially disadvantaged citizens (meaning non-white) can’t possibly get ahead without their helping hand, a hand that more often holds them back. We have seen many of these same racist anti-racists speak on behalf of racial groups they neither know or understand.
A couple of examples of this paradox include the ‘woke’ pushing to change the team names of the Washington Redskins (NFL) and Cleveland Indians (MLB). They saw the names as demeaning and racist. However, they never bothered to ask the Native American tribes how they felt about it. If they had, they would have found most had no issues with the team names. In fact, a poll taken of Native Americans about the name of the Washington Redskins found that a majority were proud of the name with the next largest number of those polled being ‘indifferent’ to the name. Yes, one tribe, the Oneida, expressed their dismay at the name. But the Blackfeet tribe was upset at the change considering Walter Wetzel, a member of the Blackfeet, created the logo that had been used since 1971.
The one thing that has me not caring about racism is the claim we hear from the woke that only white people can be racist. I cannot even begin to explain just how clueless and stupid that claim is. That told me I didn’t need to care about the racism.
I could continue on and on about issues ‘plaguing’ our country about which I don’t care, many of which are faux causes or trivial grievances. I have more important things to care about and deal with. So do we all. It’s time for more of us to say “I don’t care” when it comes to the aforementioned causes and grievances. We all have more important things to deal with.
4/22/2022
KBJ Accidentally Answered The Question About Defining A Woman
By way of GraniteGrok comes this cartoon that shows us that Supreme Court Justice In-Waiting Jackson has settled a burning question that most of us not part of the LGBQWERTY community have understood from the beginning.
'Nuff said...
'Nuff said...
4/17/2022
Thoughts On A Sunday
It’s Easter Sunday. However, that doesn’t mean I can get out of posting my usual Thoughts On A Sunday.
Part of this weekend was spent making repairs to the exterior of The Gulch. There are a couple of decaying backing boards near the steps that needed to be replaced prior to the house being painted later this spring. There are also the steps leading up to the porch and a couple of adjacent cedar shakes that are getting a little ‘punky’, so needed replacing as well. Between yesterday and some time spent after church today my eldest sister’s S. O. and I got it all done. The Gulch is all set for painting next month.
As an aside, this past week was a little disconcerting since I had Friday off. It was only a four-day workweek for me, down from my usual six-day workweek, so it threw off me a bit. It’s something I am not used to when I am not on vacation. It’s off-putting to me. Call it the New England Yankee work ethic (derived from the old Puritan work ethic) where if I am not working on a work day, then I am sinning in some form or fashion.
The battle for Twitter continues with the Progressive Censors trying their best create a ‘poison pill’ defense to prevent Elon Musk from acquiring a majority stake in Twitter and taking over. Considering Musk is likely the wealthiest man on the planet, at least at the moment, he probably has deeper pockets than most of the other Twitter stockholders. Despite the present leadership at Twitter trying to smear Musk and siccing the SEC on him, that hasn’t stopped him from offering $43 billion for the social media platform.
That have also been mutterings that Musk may be looking to develop his own Twitter-like platform, therefore bypassing the Twitterati elite and perhaps saving himself billions in the process.
I love it when Senator Ted Cruz puts close-minded intolerant brainwashed Progressives in their place. His latest target of well deserved derision?
A self-important and clueless Yale student who made the mistake of accusing Cruz of racism regarding the confirmation hearings of Supreme Court nominee Jackson.
Since this is Easter and I have family visiting today, this is an abbreviated TOAS. Therefore, that is the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where the leaf buds on the trees are appearing, there’s more boat traffic out on the lake, and where my boating season starts in about 4 weeks.
Part of this weekend was spent making repairs to the exterior of The Gulch. There are a couple of decaying backing boards near the steps that needed to be replaced prior to the house being painted later this spring. There are also the steps leading up to the porch and a couple of adjacent cedar shakes that are getting a little ‘punky’, so needed replacing as well. Between yesterday and some time spent after church today my eldest sister’s S. O. and I got it all done. The Gulch is all set for painting next month.
As an aside, this past week was a little disconcerting since I had Friday off. It was only a four-day workweek for me, down from my usual six-day workweek, so it threw off me a bit. It’s something I am not used to when I am not on vacation. It’s off-putting to me. Call it the New England Yankee work ethic (derived from the old Puritan work ethic) where if I am not working on a work day, then I am sinning in some form or fashion.
==++==
The battle for Twitter continues with the Progressive Censors trying their best create a ‘poison pill’ defense to prevent Elon Musk from acquiring a majority stake in Twitter and taking over. Considering Musk is likely the wealthiest man on the planet, at least at the moment, he probably has deeper pockets than most of the other Twitter stockholders. Despite the present leadership at Twitter trying to smear Musk and siccing the SEC on him, that hasn’t stopped him from offering $43 billion for the social media platform.
That have also been mutterings that Musk may be looking to develop his own Twitter-like platform, therefore bypassing the Twitterati elite and perhaps saving himself billions in the process.
==++==
I love it when Senator Ted Cruz puts close-minded intolerant brainwashed Progressives in their place. His latest target of well deserved derision?
A self-important and clueless Yale student who made the mistake of accusing Cruz of racism regarding the confirmation hearings of Supreme Court nominee Jackson.
The first thing to always notice when an exchange like this takes place is just how vague the charge is. This woman says that Cruz’s questions were racist, yet she provides no examples at all to show how. As someone who followed the Judge Jackson hearings, I have a pretty good handle on what the Texas senator asked, and every single point he hit was about her judicial record. If one is going to accuse another person of racism, shouldn’t they cite the supposed racism?But that isn’t how the Progressive narrative works. They make the accusation but don’t cite examples. By the time people actually check out the veracity of the accusations and find them lacking, the next accusation has been made without any examples and the cycle repeats. However, Cruz didn’t let his accuser get away with it.
Getting back to Cruz’s response, he begins by pointing out the abject hypocrisy of the left when it comes to protecting black candidates and nominees. If it was racist to question and vote against Jackson simply because she’s a black person, why was it not racist when Democrats did the same thing to Clarence Thomas? Or Janice Rogers Brown? Cruz then notes how casually the left tosses around the accusation of racism, rarely providing any proof for their claims. Likewise, he points out that liberals didn’t consider it sexist when Democrats voted in lockstep against Amy Coney Barrett.One thing the Left has failed to learn is not to get into a debate with Ted Cruz. Every time they do he hands them their proverbial heads because he comes armed with facts and evidence that are easily verifiable. All they have is baseless accusations and innuendo.
==++==
Since this is Easter and I have family visiting today, this is an abbreviated TOAS. Therefore, that is the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where the leaf buds on the trees are appearing, there’s more boat traffic out on the lake, and where my boating season starts in about 4 weeks.
4/16/2022
The War For Twitter
It’s amusing to watch the Twitter War between the Progressive corporation that is Twitter and multibillionaire Elon Musk. The usual media suspects have been losing their collective minds at the prospect that he might acquire a controlling interest in Twitter and remove its restrictions on free speech, letting views from the Left, Right, and Center flow freely, something Progressives hate.
Says Max Abrahms about this whole kerfuffle:
Should Twitter be freed from the censorship that has turned it into a bastion of Blue think, perhaps Facebook should be the next target. Goodness knows it’s almost as bad Twitter, but it is catching up.
Says Max Abrahms about this whole kerfuffle:
The fact that journalists are so opposed to Elon Musk buying Twitter because it would promote free speech and challenge Democrat establishment talking points is everything you need to know about the media today.Indeed.
Should Twitter be freed from the censorship that has turned it into a bastion of Blue think, perhaps Facebook should be the next target. Goodness knows it’s almost as bad Twitter, but it is catching up.
4/10/2022
Thoughts On A Sunday
Ice Out was declared on Lake Winnipesaukee this past Friday, meaning I lost out on the pool. I had today as my pick, but Mother Nature came along with heavy rain and just enough wind Thursday night and Friday morning to clear out the remains of the ice from Alton Bay, Center Harbor, Moultonborough Bay, Weirs Beach, and Wolfeboro, all ports of call for the M/S Mount Washington cruise ship. There is still ice in some of the smaller coves and bays, but for the most part the lake is wide open.
I have already seen a number of boats out on the lake, a majority of them fishing boats since salmon season started on April 1st. I have also seen one heading out to one of the local islands that is within our town.
The Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout isn’t scheduled to go back into the water for a few more weeks, but it will still be back at its slip a good three weeks or more before the rest of the boats we usually see in the lake.
Most blogs and news/commentary websites tend to use Disqus for comments. While not perfect – it’s filtering algorithms need some fixing because they’ll remove a comment the algorithm deems offensive due to the use of certain words, regardless of context – it is a widely used.
One of the other ‘problems’ I see is bots that will automatically upvote a commenter’s post. I am not exactly sure why as it doesn’t really do anything other than slightly raise the upvote totals. But checking the Disqus member who upvoted a comment turns out to include some kind of ad. Lately I’ve been receiving instant upvotes for every comment I post. I’m talking within seconds. Checking the Disqus profile of the ‘person’ who upvoted my comment includes an ad for a dating site.
I have to wonder how many Disqus members will actually click on these ad links? My guess is very few, if any.
But it is annoying. It’s even more annoying when more than one bot is auto-upvoting.
And so it goes in the wasteland that is the Internet.
Some anti-police/anti-establishment anti-racism ‘organizers’ have demanded that police officers wear bodycams as a means of proving cops are racist. However, that demand has come back to haunt many of those ‘organizers’ when such bodycam footage shows hate hoaxes and those idiots playing the race card.
How many other ‘hate’ hoaxes have video surveillance cameras uncovered, particularly if the alleged victim is actually the perpetrator? Too many.
I guess there isn’t enough racism to go around so they have to invent some.
I’ve been hearing about the January 6th Insurrectionist investigations and the first few trials so far. One thing the “We’re gonna nail Trump for the insurrection and make sure he can’t run for president again” cabal has been faithfully ignoring?
Not one of the so-called insurrectionists has been charged with insurrection. Not. One.
How is it possible to have an insurrection if there are no insurrectionists? So far, the Democrats haven’t been able to answer that one.
Too many people keep ignoring the downsides to ‘green’ energy...like the death of 150 bald eagles by the wind turbines of a single wind energy firm.
Bald eagles are a federally protected species and the company was fined millions of dollars. What good is a green energy system that is doing its best to wipe out protected wildlife? Does anyone else see a disconnect here?
Speaking of green, here’s yet another example of how actions taken to combat climate change are worse than doing nothing.
And so it goes.
(H/T Pirate’s Cove)
When I first heard this idea I thought it was ingenious. With the Biden-imposed disaster at our southern border causing major problems in the border states, it was a pleasure to see a creative solution to a problem created by Washington DC being handed back to them, literally.
Texas Governor Greg Abbot is busing detained illegal aliens to Washington DC as a means of forcing the Swamp denizens to deal with the problem. He’s returning the problem of illegal immigration and the open border to Washington where it belongs.
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee where we are that much closer to boating season, Good Friday and Easter are this coming weekend, and where real estate madness is continuing.
I have already seen a number of boats out on the lake, a majority of them fishing boats since salmon season started on April 1st. I have also seen one heading out to one of the local islands that is within our town.
The Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout isn’t scheduled to go back into the water for a few more weeks, but it will still be back at its slip a good three weeks or more before the rest of the boats we usually see in the lake.
==++==
Most blogs and news/commentary websites tend to use Disqus for comments. While not perfect – it’s filtering algorithms need some fixing because they’ll remove a comment the algorithm deems offensive due to the use of certain words, regardless of context – it is a widely used.
One of the other ‘problems’ I see is bots that will automatically upvote a commenter’s post. I am not exactly sure why as it doesn’t really do anything other than slightly raise the upvote totals. But checking the Disqus member who upvoted a comment turns out to include some kind of ad. Lately I’ve been receiving instant upvotes for every comment I post. I’m talking within seconds. Checking the Disqus profile of the ‘person’ who upvoted my comment includes an ad for a dating site.
I have to wonder how many Disqus members will actually click on these ad links? My guess is very few, if any.
But it is annoying. It’s even more annoying when more than one bot is auto-upvoting.
And so it goes in the wasteland that is the Internet.
==++==
Some anti-police/anti-establishment anti-racism ‘organizers’ have demanded that police officers wear bodycams as a means of proving cops are racist. However, that demand has come back to haunt many of those ‘organizers’ when such bodycam footage shows hate hoaxes and those idiots playing the race card.
How many other ‘hate’ hoaxes have video surveillance cameras uncovered, particularly if the alleged victim is actually the perpetrator? Too many.
I guess there isn’t enough racism to go around so they have to invent some.
==++==
I’ve been hearing about the January 6th Insurrectionist investigations and the first few trials so far. One thing the “We’re gonna nail Trump for the insurrection and make sure he can’t run for president again” cabal has been faithfully ignoring?
Not one of the so-called insurrectionists has been charged with insurrection. Not. One.
How is it possible to have an insurrection if there are no insurrectionists? So far, the Democrats haven’t been able to answer that one.
==++==
Too many people keep ignoring the downsides to ‘green’ energy...like the death of 150 bald eagles by the wind turbines of a single wind energy firm.
Bald eagles are a federally protected species and the company was fined millions of dollars. What good is a green energy system that is doing its best to wipe out protected wildlife? Does anyone else see a disconnect here?
==++==
Speaking of green, here’s yet another example of how actions taken to combat climate change are worse than doing nothing.
In the 1980s, the government of the United Kingdom introduced financial incentives to promote plantation forestry. Landowners were encouraged, via tax breaks, to cover seemingly “unproductive” peatlands with uniform stands of trees for timber harvest. As a result of this policy and others, about 80 percent of UK peatlands were degraded or destroyed. “It was a disaster from a climate change perspective, as well as from a biodiversity perspective,” says Peter Smith, a soil and climate scientist at the University of Aberdeen in Scotland.This isn’t the only example of good intentions ignoring the Law of Unintended Consequences. What looks good on paper turns out to have side-effects that are worse than the original problem. This happens even when interested (but opposed) parties point out the problems since those pushing the cures know better than everyone else, including folk who actually know better.
Peatlands are critical landscapes for greenhouse gas storage, explains Smith. They are sinks of undecayed organic matter, holding onto millennia of carbon dioxide and methane that would otherwise be in the atmosphere. When the UK’s peat was drained and planted with trees, the land went from carbon sink to source. It was an environmental mistake, like so many, made in the name of maximizing profit. And it’s one that the UK’s government vowed to correct and not repeat. Yet, as recently as 2020, the Forestry Commission allowed peatland to be drained for tree planting.
And so it goes.
(H/T Pirate’s Cove)
==++==
When I first heard this idea I thought it was ingenious. With the Biden-imposed disaster at our southern border causing major problems in the border states, it was a pleasure to see a creative solution to a problem created by Washington DC being handed back to them, literally.
Texas Governor Greg Abbot is busing detained illegal aliens to Washington DC as a means of forcing the Swamp denizens to deal with the problem. He’s returning the problem of illegal immigration and the open border to Washington where it belongs.
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott wasn’t bluffing when he said he would bus illegal aliens dropped off by the federal government in small Texas communities to Washington, D.C. Apparently, DHS simply dropped the illegals off without warning and without asking permission. Many Texas towns were blindsided by Joe Biden’s “catch and release” policy and were begging Abbott for help.Senator Cruz listed those Blue enclaves which includes:
White House press secretary Jen Psaki whined that Abbott’s voluntary bus rides were a “publicity stunt.” Well, duh. But immediately after Abbott’s announcement, the federal government stopped dropping illegal aliens in the towns that had been pleading for help.
Senator Ted Cruz thought Abbott’s idea was so good he introduced legislation to expand the illegal alien transport program to what he considered to be other rich, Democratic enclaves.
Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket in MassachusettsI can think of a few other Blue enclaves that could use an infusion of illegal aliens who were detained at the border like Arlington, VA and Portland, OR and Seattle, WA and Darien, CT and….
Newport, RI
Greenwich, CT
Palo Alto, CA
Scarsdale, NY
Rehoboth Beach, DE
==++==
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee where we are that much closer to boating season, Good Friday and Easter are this coming weekend, and where real estate madness is continuing.
4/09/2022
The Insanity Of The Housing Market
If we needed yet another example of the insanity of the housing market comes this personal experience which took place literally next door to The Gulch.
Last Saturday I was departing The Gulch to go visit a old friend – Sgt. Mommy - I hadn’t seen since the whole Covid Apocalypse started a couple of years ago. I had some difficulty getting out of my driveway because of all the vehicles parked along the road. It turns out one of the neighboring homes was holding an Open House.
My neighbors – a nice family from down in the People’s Republic of Massachusetts – had bought that house a couple of years ago as their vacation home. (Our neighborhood overlooks the Big Lake.) No one had any idea they were listing it, but they had been up over the past few weeks doing a lot of spring cleaning inside and out. I hadn’t thought anything about it even though there were up a couple of times during the middle of the week, something unusual during a non-vacation week, obviously working on their place.
The Open House lasted all of two hours. The house was under agreement in one day. They had listed it for $480,000. They got more than asking price.
WTF?
This is a place they had paid a little over $330,000 for a couple of years ago, a price everyone here knew was too high as other similar homes in this neighborhood were selling for $230,000 to $270,000. (The $270,000 homes had an unobstructed view of the Big Lake.) The house is a little under 1200 square feet, 3 small bedrooms, 2 bathrooms – one full bath and a three-quarter bath, a 1-car garage, with a crawlspace rather than a basement. All of the homes in this neighborhood are roughly the same size with a couple of exceptions.
I have seen other homes the ex and I had looked at in our old neighborhood years ago which were recently listed selling for crazy prices. One such home that was listed for $380,000 went for $900,000. I have seen this again and again over the past year. And that brings us to the second, but related, topic of this post.
Short Term Rentals.
They are also known as AirBnB’s. (Yes, AirBNB is a service, but most folks refer to any Short Term Rental as an AirBnB, even those listed by VRBO - Vacation Rental By Owner.)
What has been driving some of the insane home prices in our town has been the major proliferation of Short Term Rentals (STRs), and more specifically, commercial STRs. What I have come to call Property LLCs buy the home for above asking price and pay cash. If more than one of those LLCs is interested, a bidding war can take place which drives the price up to unheard of levels. It has also locked out a lot of families looking to buy homes because they are priced out of the market. That is not a good thing.
I differentiate between owner-occupied STRs and the commercial STRs, with owner-occupied STRs being either a room within the owner’s home, an In-Law apartment, or an apartment over a garage or boathouse, or some other structure. The owner is generally on site. The exception to that is when a homeowner may rent their home while they are away on vacation. A lot of folks do that to help pay their property taxes or mortgages, renting out their home for a few weeks while they are away. This is something that has been going on here long before AirBnB or VRBO existed. Some folks in my neighborhood have been doing just that for decades.
The commercially operated STRs have been referred to as ‘distributed hotels’ by some. That makes sense as some of those STRs are owned by hotel chains. They aren’t much different than hotel rooms or suites. In most cases these STR owners are out of state and have no connection to or concern for the town in which their STR is located. This has led to problems, and not just in my town.
One problem has been is that our town doesn’t always know who really owns the STRs. There is a phone number and the name of the LLC that owns it, but little more. That can create an issue if there is an ongoing problem with the property or the renters but the town cannot contact the owners to resolve the problem. At least owner-occupied STRs can address problems in short order since the owners are there. The commercial STRs need to have a someone the town can contact, preferably someone nearby capable of handling any problems that might arise, be it with the property or the renters.
Unfortunately for us we will not be able to institute some of our town’s proposed STR regulations until next year since they will need to be approved by voters at Town Meeting...next March. There are some things our Board of Selectmen can do to help alleviate some of the problems that have been cropping up, but only ‘along the edges’ of those problems.
It’s going to be a long 11 months until we can get Short Term Rentals under control.
Last Saturday I was departing The Gulch to go visit a old friend – Sgt. Mommy - I hadn’t seen since the whole Covid Apocalypse started a couple of years ago. I had some difficulty getting out of my driveway because of all the vehicles parked along the road. It turns out one of the neighboring homes was holding an Open House.
My neighbors – a nice family from down in the People’s Republic of Massachusetts – had bought that house a couple of years ago as their vacation home. (Our neighborhood overlooks the Big Lake.) No one had any idea they were listing it, but they had been up over the past few weeks doing a lot of spring cleaning inside and out. I hadn’t thought anything about it even though there were up a couple of times during the middle of the week, something unusual during a non-vacation week, obviously working on their place.
The Open House lasted all of two hours. The house was under agreement in one day. They had listed it for $480,000. They got more than asking price.
WTF?
This is a place they had paid a little over $330,000 for a couple of years ago, a price everyone here knew was too high as other similar homes in this neighborhood were selling for $230,000 to $270,000. (The $270,000 homes had an unobstructed view of the Big Lake.) The house is a little under 1200 square feet, 3 small bedrooms, 2 bathrooms – one full bath and a three-quarter bath, a 1-car garage, with a crawlspace rather than a basement. All of the homes in this neighborhood are roughly the same size with a couple of exceptions.
I have seen other homes the ex and I had looked at in our old neighborhood years ago which were recently listed selling for crazy prices. One such home that was listed for $380,000 went for $900,000. I have seen this again and again over the past year. And that brings us to the second, but related, topic of this post.
Short Term Rentals.
They are also known as AirBnB’s. (Yes, AirBNB is a service, but most folks refer to any Short Term Rental as an AirBnB, even those listed by VRBO - Vacation Rental By Owner.)
What has been driving some of the insane home prices in our town has been the major proliferation of Short Term Rentals (STRs), and more specifically, commercial STRs. What I have come to call Property LLCs buy the home for above asking price and pay cash. If more than one of those LLCs is interested, a bidding war can take place which drives the price up to unheard of levels. It has also locked out a lot of families looking to buy homes because they are priced out of the market. That is not a good thing.
I differentiate between owner-occupied STRs and the commercial STRs, with owner-occupied STRs being either a room within the owner’s home, an In-Law apartment, or an apartment over a garage or boathouse, or some other structure. The owner is generally on site. The exception to that is when a homeowner may rent their home while they are away on vacation. A lot of folks do that to help pay their property taxes or mortgages, renting out their home for a few weeks while they are away. This is something that has been going on here long before AirBnB or VRBO existed. Some folks in my neighborhood have been doing just that for decades.
The commercially operated STRs have been referred to as ‘distributed hotels’ by some. That makes sense as some of those STRs are owned by hotel chains. They aren’t much different than hotel rooms or suites. In most cases these STR owners are out of state and have no connection to or concern for the town in which their STR is located. This has led to problems, and not just in my town.
One problem has been is that our town doesn’t always know who really owns the STRs. There is a phone number and the name of the LLC that owns it, but little more. That can create an issue if there is an ongoing problem with the property or the renters but the town cannot contact the owners to resolve the problem. At least owner-occupied STRs can address problems in short order since the owners are there. The commercial STRs need to have a someone the town can contact, preferably someone nearby capable of handling any problems that might arise, be it with the property or the renters.
Unfortunately for us we will not be able to institute some of our town’s proposed STR regulations until next year since they will need to be approved by voters at Town Meeting...next March. There are some things our Board of Selectmen can do to help alleviate some of the problems that have been cropping up, but only ‘along the edges’ of those problems.
It’s going to be a long 11 months until we can get Short Term Rentals under control.
4/07/2022
4/03/2022
Thoughts On A Sunday
The lake is showing more open water every day as the temperatures and winds are doing their best to melt and break up the ice cover. It’s the first weekend in April and already boatyards and marinas are prepping for the upcoming boating season. While Memorial Day weekend is usually seen as the ‘official’ start of the season it actually starts around the first or second week of May. (The week depends upon the date of Ice Out. If it’s late the water might still be a bit ‘chunky’ during the first week, so the start falls back to the second week.) There are quite a few of us hard types who are “Early in. Late out.” boaters, putting our boats in the water well before Memorial Day and pulling them out after Columbus Day weekend. Last year the Official Weekend Pundit Lake Winnipesaukee Runabout didn’t come out of the water until the first week of November, and I wasn’t anywhere near the last one to pull their boat out of the water.
The only thing we’re worried about is the price of gas. Marine gas is always more expensive than gas at a gas station. Marinas, or at least those on the lakes around here, sell only 89 octane mid-grade gas, so it’s already more expensive than regular gas. Then add in the costs of the extra additives an the lower volumes of gas sold as compared to gas stations and marine gas can go for anywhere from $1 to $1.50 per gallon more than regular gas at a gas station. Boats like mine don’t burn nearly as much gas as the larger boats or those with engines that have a lot more horsepower than the one in my boat, but I will still be doing my best to keep my fuel costs as low as possible.
There is one upside to the higher fuel costs: less boats out on the lake. The last time gas prices were this high the boat traffic on the lake was about half of what we would normally see. There were even a couple of summer weekends where the traffic was almost non-existent even though the weather was perfect for a day out on the lake.
Only time will tell.
Watching the news from Ukraine, reading some non-media reports, and discussions with old colleagues of mine, it appears things have gone wrong and are still going wrong for Russia’s military and Putin’s plans.
The media has called Russia’s withdrawal a “repositioning” (Russia’s term). What it is is a strategic retreat. As deployed they were getting pounded, seeing an increasing number of casualties and losing tanks, armored tracks, trucks, attack aircraft, and helicopters. They lost important supplies at a depot just inside Ukrainian territory and a fuel depot just over the border in Russia when Ukrainian forces destroyed them.
Some are saying the Russians are rethinking this venture, seeing its first attempt as an abject failure. Other are saying the Russians are regrouping and resupplying for a much larger offensive later this spring when the ground has dried out which will allow Russian armored units to travel cross-country rather than being limited to traveling on roads. This limitation made it easier for Ukraine’s air and ground forces to locate, attack and destroy Russian forces.
Either way, the invasion of Ukraine has turned out to be a debacle for Putin and the reputation of the Russian military.
Add yet another state to the list of Constitutional Carry states.
The Georgia Senate passed the latest version of the Constitutional Carry bill passed by the Georgia House earlier this past week. Georgia Governor Kemp has said he will sign the bill.
There are three other states presently working on Constitutional Carry: Louisiana, Michigan, and South Carolina. It will be interesting to see if any of those three will manage to see their efforts come to fruition.
It looks like Disney CEO Bob Chapek and his management team are getting a lot of push back from Disney stockholders, with one of them warning him to “Get back to business, that is, excellence in storytelling, and stop wasting shareholder’s money on political crusades that have nothing to do with Disney’s business.” Disney’s opposition to Florida’s “Don’t Say Gay” bill and its work to get it repealed. The people of Florida don’t support Disney’s position, nor to many of its employees.
If Disney pushes too hard it’s possible Disney’s Special Governing Arrangement could become history.
It seems the C-level execs have forgotten the one hard and fast rule of going woke: Go Woke, Go Broke. These guys had best rethink their decision to go down this path or they’ll all be looking for new jobs...assuming anyone would hire them after what they had done to Disney.
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where the ice is disappearing, the temps are rising slowly and in fits and starts, and where Monday will once again make its unwelcome presence known.
The only thing we’re worried about is the price of gas. Marine gas is always more expensive than gas at a gas station. Marinas, or at least those on the lakes around here, sell only 89 octane mid-grade gas, so it’s already more expensive than regular gas. Then add in the costs of the extra additives an the lower volumes of gas sold as compared to gas stations and marine gas can go for anywhere from $1 to $1.50 per gallon more than regular gas at a gas station. Boats like mine don’t burn nearly as much gas as the larger boats or those with engines that have a lot more horsepower than the one in my boat, but I will still be doing my best to keep my fuel costs as low as possible.
There is one upside to the higher fuel costs: less boats out on the lake. The last time gas prices were this high the boat traffic on the lake was about half of what we would normally see. There were even a couple of summer weekends where the traffic was almost non-existent even though the weather was perfect for a day out on the lake.
Only time will tell.
==++==
Watching the news from Ukraine, reading some non-media reports, and discussions with old colleagues of mine, it appears things have gone wrong and are still going wrong for Russia’s military and Putin’s plans.
The media has called Russia’s withdrawal a “repositioning” (Russia’s term). What it is is a strategic retreat. As deployed they were getting pounded, seeing an increasing number of casualties and losing tanks, armored tracks, trucks, attack aircraft, and helicopters. They lost important supplies at a depot just inside Ukrainian territory and a fuel depot just over the border in Russia when Ukrainian forces destroyed them.
Some are saying the Russians are rethinking this venture, seeing its first attempt as an abject failure. Other are saying the Russians are regrouping and resupplying for a much larger offensive later this spring when the ground has dried out which will allow Russian armored units to travel cross-country rather than being limited to traveling on roads. This limitation made it easier for Ukraine’s air and ground forces to locate, attack and destroy Russian forces.
Either way, the invasion of Ukraine has turned out to be a debacle for Putin and the reputation of the Russian military.
==++==
Add yet another state to the list of Constitutional Carry states.
The Georgia Senate passed the latest version of the Constitutional Carry bill passed by the Georgia House earlier this past week. Georgia Governor Kemp has said he will sign the bill.
After some back and forth between the Georgia House and Senate reconciling different versions of constitutional carry bills, the Senate voted 34-22 in favor of the latest version that passed the House earlier this week. That sends the final bill to Governor Brian Kemp who has said he’ll sign it into law.Once Governor Kemp signs the bill half the states in the US will be constitutional carry states. Half. What’s the possibility some more states will be joining the ranks of Constitutional Carry? I think we can count on states like New York, New Jersey, Illinois, California, Connecticut, and Massachusetts not becoming Constitutional Carry states.
--snip--
Prepare for the usual primal screams from our friends in the Civilian Disarmament Industrial Complex as Georgia is about to become the 25th state (that’s half the country, for you blue-staters) with constitutional carry on the books.
There are three other states presently working on Constitutional Carry: Louisiana, Michigan, and South Carolina. It will be interesting to see if any of those three will manage to see their efforts come to fruition.
==++==
It looks like Disney CEO Bob Chapek and his management team are getting a lot of push back from Disney stockholders, with one of them warning him to “Get back to business, that is, excellence in storytelling, and stop wasting shareholder’s money on political crusades that have nothing to do with Disney’s business.” Disney’s opposition to Florida’s “Don’t Say Gay” bill and its work to get it repealed. The people of Florida don’t support Disney’s position, nor to many of its employees.
If Disney pushes too hard it’s possible Disney’s Special Governing Arrangement could become history.
Disney has vowed to fight for the repeal of the law despite the fact that it reflects the values of parents throughout the state — as well as many of the company’s cast members (which is what Disney calls its employees).Were that to happen, Disney would have to deal with the governments of two different counties since Disney property spans across the county lines. Their time of self-governing would be at an end and would cost the corporation millions of dollars, something that would certainly cause a stockholder revolt and the very likely termination of Disney management from the CEO on down.
But, just as we’ve expected from Florida’s governor, DeSantis isn’t simply rolling over — he’s fighting back.
...DeSantis and other GOP legislators in the Sunshine State have mused about repealing the legislation that gave Disney its own governmental authority over the Walt Disney Word property over 50 years ago.
It seems the C-level execs have forgotten the one hard and fast rule of going woke: Go Woke, Go Broke. These guys had best rethink their decision to go down this path or they’ll all be looking for new jobs...assuming anyone would hire them after what they had done to Disney.
==++==
And that’s the news from Lake Winnipesaukee, where the ice is disappearing, the temps are rising slowly and in fits and starts, and where Monday will once again make its unwelcome presence known.
4/02/2022
Another Example Of Woke Insanity?
I was out and about today, having gone down to the Boston area to visit a lifelong friend, and just got back to The Gulch a few moments ago. I’m tired and not quite up to a more substantial post, so I’m going to cheat. Without further ado:
So who are the racists in the room?
So who are the racists in the room?
4/01/2022
A Hard Truth
This says so much with so few words:
There's nothing more I can add.
(H/T Knuckledraggin)
There's nothing more I can add.
(H/T Knuckledraggin)
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